The psychology of a commodity bubble

Via DadTalk, a nice essay on the psychology of a bubble.




The author is also a Piggington fan, and posits that San Diego is smack dab in such a cycle:



I’ve always been fascinated by the psychology of groups, and of course we’re renters, so both posts are fascinating to me. I find myself

  • Hoping prices will fall so we can own again.
  • Feeling guilty, ’cause a price drop will hurt a lot of people.
  • Having apocalytpic thoughts about a housing crash followed by (or preceded by) a Peak Oil crisis. Not a great time to bring a child into the world if true.
  • Piggington has very solid data on a bubble:



    Click for source

    so I guess we’ll just have to see what happens. The essays (DadTalk and Irvine Housing Blog) are both excellent and worth a read.

    Leave a Reply